The recent assassination of Wagner Group boss, Yevgeny Prigozhin, has brought attention to the fears and instability within the Russian establishment. Many within the Russian elite are concerned about the internal divisions and the potential for defeat in Ukraine. While Western commentary focuses on the implications for Vladimir Putin's hold on power, the real worry among the Russian elites and the wider population is the risk of chaos and a loss in the ongoing war.

The Ukrainian presidential advisor, Mykhailo Podolyak, has made it clear that as long as Putin remains in power, there will be no end to the war. The assassination of Prigozhin has exposed Putin's unwillingness to negotiate or seek agreements, instead focusing on escalation and destruction. This has led to concerns that the war in Ukraine will continue to deepen and lead Russia into a state of chaos.

Although some in the Russian establishment would be content with a ceasefire along the present battle lines, hardline nationalist elements and Putin's fear of their influence add to the uncertainty. The recent dismissal of two generals and the arrest of an ultra-nationalist leader demonstrate Putin's efforts to curb their power.

As the war in Ukraine continues and tensions rise, the question remains: Is Putin's reign causing chaos and uncertainty within Russia? Only time will tell how this complex situation will unfold and what it means for the future of both Russia and Ukraine.