According to a recent New York Times/Siena College poll, Donald Trump is leading Joe Biden in five of six key swing states, causing concern among the Democratic establishment. The poll shows that Trump has a modest lead among Hispanic voters and a slight lead among voters under 30, while also indicating a significant increase in African-American support for Trump compared to previous Republican candidates. This shift in support is surprising and has led some analysts to suggest that Biden should step down or wake up to the realities of the current political landscape. However, it is important to remember that polling predictions this far in advance of an election can often change drastically over time. For instance, Gallup predicted an eight-point loss for President Obama a year before his reelection, yet he ended up winning by a wide margin. Similar forecasts of doom for President Biden were made a year before the 2022 midterms, and yet his party performed better than expected. While the recent polling numbers may be cause for concern for the Biden campaign, it is still too early to determine his chances of success in a potential rematch against Trump.